The 10th congressional district of Illinois, which was redrawn by state Democrats to make it virtually impossible for a Republican to win, is now leaning Republican, according to veteran political analyst Larry J. Sabato of the University of Virginia.
Sabato switched the race between incumbent Democrat Brad Schneider and Republican Bob Dold from “Toss-up” to “Leans Republican” in his latest ratings, less than a week before Election Day.
The shift towards Dold and a Republican victory likely heralds a nationwide trend. Of the 22 ratings changes that Sabato has released, 15 include districts moving towards Republicans, while Democrats have shown gains in only 7.
Dold was elected in the wave election of 2010 but was unseated in 2012 after the district was redrawn. The 10th district takes in some Chicago suburbs as well as urban areas north of Chicago, such as Waukegan.